India · economy · resolves 2026-11-12
Will the RBI publish the weekly bond market report showing a rise in yields above 7.5 % on 2026-11-12?
28%chance, per Kāla▼ 34 pts since the last update
Why
The baseline chance that the RBI will issue a weekly bond‑market report with yields above 7.5 % on 12 Nov 2026 is low, perhaps around 20 % given typical reporting patterns and the fact that such a specific threshold is uncommon. Recent market data show 10‑year yields hovering just under 7.5 % (≈ 7.44 % on 22 Oct 2026) and trending downward, which makes a breach less likely.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-19 · 5 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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