technology · resolves 2026-11-25
Will the U.S. government issue a formal ban on DeepSeek AI for all federal agencies by 2026-11-25?
96%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, the U.S. government has occasionally imposed bans on foreign AI products for security reasons, but such bans are relatively rare and usually follow high‑profile security concerns. Latest evidence: Multiple independent reports from October 20‑23 2026 confirm that the Department of Homeland Security and other federal civilian agencies have formally prohibited the use of DeepSeek AI, ordering its removal from all federal systems.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 5 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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