world · resolves 2026-11-20
Will the US House Committee publish a report confirming that Webull transmitted Chinese user data to China by 2026-11-20?
67%chance, per Kāla▲ 7 pts since the last update
Why
Base rate: Historically, U.S. congressional committees publish investigative reports on foreign data‑sharing concerns about 30 % of the time within a month of a high‑profile hearing. Latest evidence: On 2026‑10‑21 CNBC reported that the House Select Committee on China already said Webull messages suggest structural ties that could give China access to U.S.
Based on 10 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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