economy · resolves 2026-11-13
Will the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for October 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on November 13, 2026, show a year-over-year increase of 2.5% or higher?
92%chance, per Kāla
Why
September 2026 PPI showed a 6.3% year‑over‑year rise, far above the 2.5% threshold, and energy and commodity price pressures remain strong. With no indication of a sharp reversal, the October figure is expected to stay well above 2.5%.
Based on 19 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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