economy · resolves 2026-11-16
Will the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) for October 2026, released by the Office of the Economic Adviser on Monday, November 16, 2026, show year-on-year inflation below 11.00%?
9%chance, per Kāla
Why
Recent September data showed 11.39% YoY inflation and expert forecasts (India Ratings & Research, ICRA) expect October to stay in double‑digits, even above 12%. This makes a sub‑11% outcome unlikely.
Based on 34 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-24 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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