India · economy · resolves 2026-11-12
Will the year-on-year Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for October 2026, as released by India's Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) on November 12, 2026, be greater than 5.60%?
82%chance, per Kāla
Why
Recent CPI data shows September at 5.54% and RBI forecasts a peak of 6.0% for Q3 2026, suggesting October inflation is likely above 5.60%. Persistent food and fuel price pressures support this view.
Based on 33 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-24 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
India's week ahead, every Monday. The top forecasts, the biggest moves and last week's results, free by email.
Related forecasts
- Will the Delhi High Court grant a further 3‑day custody extension for NTK functionary Karthika after 2026-10-24? 67%
- Will the Fed’s October 2026 policy statement cite AI‑driven inflation as a primary concern? 4%
- Will India win the 3rd T20I match against New Zealand on October 27, 2026? 72%
- Will the Indian Ministry of Railways publish the revised parcel‑fare discount schedule for the festive season by 2026-10-27? 42%
- Will the U.S. Federal Reserve increase the federal funds rate at its FOMC meeting concluding on October 28, 2026? 34%
- Will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce a change to its main refinancing operations rate at its Governing Council meeting on October 29, 2026? 10%
AI-generated forecast for information only: not betting, financial, legal or investment advice. No money is involved. How accurate is Kāla?