politics · resolves 2026-11-20
Will Trump’s $400 million midterm support fund be officially filed with the FEC by 2026-11-20?
18%chance, per Kāla▼ 5 pts since the last update
Why
Base‑rate: Historically, major political committees file required FEC disclosures within a few weeks of announcing a fund, but high‑profile donors like Trump sometimes delay or use alternative structures that postpone formal filing.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 4 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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