politics · resolves 2026-12-15
Will Trump’s proposal for data‑center community dividends be formally introduced in a congressional bill by 2026-12-15?
9%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, ad‑hoc proposals from former presidents rarely become formal legislation within a few months, especially when they lack broad congressional sponsorship. Latest evidence: All reports from Oct 21‑23 only describe Trump urging data‑center companies to pay “community dividends”; none mention any bill being drafted, introduced, or gaining sponsor support in Congress.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-21 · 3 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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