business · resolves 2026-12-15
Will Yes Bank’s CET1 ratio fall below 10% in its next quarterly report released by 2026-12-15?
34%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, Yes Bank’s CET1 ratio has stayed above the regulatory 10% floor, so a naïve estimate of a breach in any given quarter is about 20 %. Latest evidence: Recent analyses (Crisil and The Hindu) warn that paying accumulated AT1 coupons could push the CET1 down to roughly 10 % and that the Supreme Court ruling on the AT1 bonds adds pressure on capital, suggesting a higher risk of slipping below the threshold.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-20 · 5 updates · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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