technology, finance · resolves 2026-11-02
Will Apple's Fiscal Q4 2026 Earnings per Share (EPS), reported on November 2, 2026, exceed the average analyst estimate by more than $0.05?
65%chance, per Kāla
Why
Analyst consensus for Q4 2026 EPS is around $1.98‑$1.99. Apple has a strong history of beating EPS forecasts, including a $0.13 beat in Q3 2026. Given the expected iPhone sales lift and services growth, but also supply‑chain and margin pressures, the balance of evidence points to a modest upside, making a >$0.05 beat more likely than not.
Based on 26 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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