politics · resolves 2026-11-15
Will Brazil's Superior Electoral Court reject Jair Bolsonaro's request to annul the 2026 presidential election results by 2026-11-15?
77%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base‑rate: Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE) has historically upheld election outcomes and rarely annuls presidential results. Latest evidence: As of 26 Oct 2026, Bolsonaro has filed a request to annul the vote, but no ruling has been issued yet; the court is expected to rule before the 15 Nov deadline.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-26 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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