economy · resolves 2026-11-15
Will Japan's preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for Q3 2026 (July-September), as released by the Cabinet Office of Japan, be greater than 0%?
73%chance, per Kāla
Why
Forecasts from Trading Economics and a prediction market suggest a strong likelihood of modest positive growth, while only a small minority of forecasts anticipate contraction. Given the recent positive Q2 performance and strong export data, the odds of a negative reading are low.
Based on 22 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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