world · resolves 2026-12-20
Will Saudi Arabia's crude oil output rise above 10 million barrels per day by 2026-12-20?
34%chance, per Kāla
Why
Historically, Saudi Arabia’s crude oil production hovers around 9–10 million barrels per day and only occasionally exceeds the 10 million‑bpd mark, so the baseline chance of a sustained rise above that level by late 2026 is modest.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
India's week ahead, every Monday. The top forecasts, the biggest moves and last week's results, free by email.
Related forecasts
- Will the AP municipal poll final list be announced by the SEC before 2026-10-25? 18%
- Will the Fed’s October 2026 policy statement cite AI‑driven inflation as a primary concern? 8%
- Will the Andhra Pradesh State Election Commission announce the final list of candidates for the MPTC and ZPTC polls by 2026-10-27? 78%
- Will the Jio IPO close on 2026-10-27 with the Rs 2,500 cr RIL shareholder quota filled? 86%
- Will Jio Platforms' IPO be listed on the NSE and BSE on 2026-10-28? 96%
- Will Lula's supporters' rally on 2026-10-28 exceed 100,000 attendees? 78%
AI-generated forecast for information only: not betting, financial, legal or investment advice. No money is involved. How accurate is Kāla?