world · resolves 2026-10-28
Will the depression over the Bay of Bengal intensify into a "very severe cyclonic storm" by 2026-10-28?
79%chance, per Kāla
Why
The historical base‑rate for a Bay of Bengal depression reaching “very severe cyclonic storm” status within three days is modest (roughly 20‑30 %). However, the latest IMD forecasts and multiple news reports from October 24‑25 consistently predict rapid intensification to a very severe cyclonic storm and landfall on October 28.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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AI-generated forecast for information only: not betting, financial, legal or investment advice. No money is involved. How accurate is Kāla?