economy · resolves 2026-11-17
Will the G20 Leaders' Summit, scheduled to conclude on November 17, 2026, issue a communiqué that includes a specific commitment to a new global digital tax framework?
12%chance, per Kāla
Why
The G20 summit is expected to focus on implementing the existing OECD Two‑Pillar solution rather than launching a new digital tax framework. Ongoing disagreements over Pillar One and the emphasis on other priorities make a specific new commitment improbable, though a modest chance remains.
Based on 34 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-26 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
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