India · economy · resolves 2026-11-20

Will the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) report that India's foreign exchange reserves for the week ending November 13, 2026, increased by more than $2 billion, as reported around November 20, 2026?

15%chance, per Kāla

Why

Recent weekly data show India's foreign exchange reserves falling by several billion dollars each week, and there is no indication of a sudden inflow that would reverse this trend before the November 20 report. Therefore, an increase of over $2 billion is improbable, though a modest chance remains.

Based on 27 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.

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