science · resolves 2026-10-28
Will the very severe cyclone forecast to hit Andhra Pradesh make landfall there by 2026-10-28?
79%chance, per Kāla
Why
Base rate: Historically, only a minority of cyclones forecast in the Bay of Bengal actually make landfall at the predicted location and date, roughly 60 % – 70 % of such forecasts succeed.
Based on 14 dated sources · first forecast 2026-10-25 · 1 update · locked in and fingerprinted before the answer is known.
India's week ahead, every Monday. The top forecasts, the biggest moves and last week's results, free by email.
Related forecasts
- Will the AP municipal poll final list be announced by the SEC before 2026-10-25? 17%
- Will Rahul Gandhi appear before the special MP/MLA court in Uttar Pradesh on 2026-10-26? 81%
- Will the Fed’s October 2026 policy statement cite AI‑driven inflation as a primary concern? 8%
- Will the Andhra Pradesh State Election Commission announce the final list of candidates for the MPTC and ZPTC polls by 2026-10-27? 81%
- Will the Jio IPO close on 2026-10-27 with the Rs 2,500 cr RIL shareholder quota filled? 69%
- Will Jio Platforms' IPO be listed on the NSE and BSE on 2026-10-28? 96%
AI-generated forecast for information only: not betting, financial, legal or investment advice. No money is involved. How accurate is Kāla?